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February 23, 2019 


It was a case of so close yet so far for Kvitova, who was unable to cover the -4.5 game handicap in what was quite a rollercoaster of a match overall. Hsieh came up better in a couple of the pressure points from a handicap covering perspective (not that it means anything to her as she lost overall), breaking for a 6-3 first set instead of 6-4, and saving multiple set points at *1-5 in set 2 and winning many tight service games in set 3.

Onto tonight, where there are two smaller selections on offer, before things ramp up again with the final qualifying and early main draw matches for Acapulco, Dubai, Sao Paulo and the Indian Wells WTA 125K tournaments getting underway.

I will be offline for the next 18 hours. I will tend to any urgent queries as soon as possible. 

As always, if you have any questions, please don’t hesitate to get in touch. 
 
Good Luck Today,

Ace

Twitter: @Ace_Previews
Email: Ace@acetennispreviews.com
2.5 Unit Bet
Kukushkin to defeat Humbert at $2.00 (+100 or 1/1) at Bet365/Unibet - ATP Marseille

2 Unit Bet
Kvitova/Bencic under 21.5 total games at $1.83 (-120 or 83/100) at Bet365 - WTA Dubai***

Note: Odds in brackets provided in all styles worldwide at request of subscribers.
*** denotes selections that will be available on The Hub at Betfair

ATP Marseille

Kukushkin vs Humbert (Approx 01:00am AEDST)


Whilst Humbert has certainly put together a career-altering 6 months of tennis (his rise has been nothing short of seriously impressive), I get the feeling that Kukushkin perhaps isn't the best match up for Ugo, in what is arguably one of his biggest matches in his career to date at ATP level.

Whereas this may not be the best overall matchup for Humbert, I actually think the Frenchman's style of play is right in Kukushkin's wheelhouse. Kukushkin is a quality player at not only absorbing pace from the other end of the court, he is also able to give his opposition next to no pace at times, which will be a bit of a different look for Humbert to his previous opponents this week. One of Mikhail’s strengths is his ability to pass off both wings, making it more difficult for Humbert to approach the net with confidence when necessary. 


I really like the odds on Kukushkin. He has been here and done it all before, and matches up very well in my opinion. To be getting even money here looks to be a very solid proposition and worthy of a 2.5 unit selection. 

Suggested Bet:

2.5 units Kukushkin to defeat Humbert at $2.00 at Bet365/Unibet (up to $2.07 available)

WTA Dubai

Kvitova vs Bencic (Approx 02:00am AEDST)


I still have their meeting from the Australian Open fresh in my mind for this match. Straight after the 6-1 6-4 whitewash, Bencic took to Instragram to write "When Petra is on fire, she's on fire", acknowledging how helpless she felt on court against Kvitova. Bencic can be quite self deprecating at times (almost to a fault), however this sign of outward praise to her opponent showed just how much respect she has for Kvitova, and just how hard she found it on the other side of the net. Bencic was in pretty good form then, and slightly better form now with a string of comebacks over the last couple of rounds, but you have to ask just how much will change from that previous meeting?

Petra Kvitova wasn't exactly fresh going into that match with Bencic in January. She had come off a full week of tennis where she claimed the Sydney title (Bencic had a long week too, reaching a semi final in Hobart), and was absolutely ruthless in the early rounds of the Australian Open. With the conditions in Dubai perhaps slightly more favourable for Kvitova, it makes you wonder how much Bencic can turn this around?

The Swiss has put together a very solid week of tennis. After wins against Hradecka and Voegele, she has gone on to record 3 set victories over Sabalenka, Halep and Svitolina. She saved 6 match points against Sabalenka, and came from a set down against Halep, and a 3-5 third set deficit against Svitolina in the Semi Final. She has almost looked better at times when under the pump and in losing positions, however has found a way in each occasion. 

Petra Kvitova has been solid without being convincing this week, however I do like her to lift her performance coming off her win from a set down against Hsieh. The bigger the opponent has struck the ball this week, the better the performance from Kvitova. She can sometimes struggle for patches against players that can serve big and hit spots for periods of a match (ie. Brady in set 2 on Wednesday), however I don’t think Bencic’s first serve packs a big enough punch to fall into this category. 

I am comfortable making a 2 unit play on this match going under 21.5 total games. I was tossing up this and Kvitova -4.5 games, however I am happy to settle on this option. I think Petra should be too good, and will take her career finals record at all levels to 34-11. 


Suggested Bet:

2 units Total Games Under 21.5 at $1.83 at Bet365
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