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April 23, 2019

 

A 1-1 day yesterday, with a nice overall result thanks to the $3.25 winner on Pedro Sousa to win the first set against Munar. The first set selection was vindicated, with Sousa going on to lose the next two sets 4-6 0-6 as Munar came over the top. In the losing selection, Oliveira was too good for Banes, systematically breaking down the Australian’s backhand wherever possible.

 

Onto today, where not a lot of the appealing selections have been scheduled. Nevertheless, there are still a couple of plays of interest below.

As always, for any questions, I am most accessible via email, followed by twitter.

Thanks for the support, and Good Luck Today,


Ace

Twitter: @Ace_Previews
Email: Ace@acetennispreviews.com

 

4 Unit Bet

Nishikori -3.5 games vs Fritz at $1.80 (-125 or 4/5) at Bet365/Topsport - ATP Barcelona

2.5 Unit Bet

Ferrer -5.5 games vs M Zverev at $1.90 (-111 or 9/10) at Topsport/Unibet/Bet365 - ATP Barcelona

ATP Barcelona
 

Ferrer vs Zverev (Approx 08:30pm AEST)


The -5.5 game handicap looks a very strong proposition based on the hardcourt form that David Ferrer was able to display over the last month. Fresh off a couple of weeks break, I don’t think that Ferrer is going to have too much trouble on court today.
 
Zverev’s season hasn’t quite got off the ground unfortunately, and a lot of that can be attritubted to starting the year injured with a wrist issue. On the Barcelona clay, playing against David Ferrer, just doesn’t bode well in my opinion. His first two clay matches for the year have left a lot to be desired, with a 3-6 0-6 lost to Taro Daniel (who is currently playing well below his best form as well), and a straight sets loss to Ocleppo in Monte Carlo qualifying.
 
David Ferrer, even in his final couple of tournaments, is still a tough prospect on clay. As Zverev doesn’t have complete confidence in his game currently, he can have a tendency to come into the net and try and finish points off as quickly as possible. On clay, I don’t see that working overly well against Ferrer, who not only can neutralise the serve of Zverev, but he can also pass on both wings as well as utilise the lob when necessary.
 
Whilst a big handicap, I do feel that Ferrer should be able to cover the -5.5 game handicap. There is no recent form to indicate otherwise, however as it is Ferrer’s first clay outing for a while, the staking will sit at just 2.5 units.


Suggested Bet

2.5 units Ferrer -5.5 games vs Zverev at $1.90 at Bet365/Unibet/Topsport

ATP Barcelona

Fritz vs Nishikori (Approx 07:00pm AEST)

 

Whilst Taylor Fritz had a little breakout spurt in Monte Carlo, the slower and windier conditions here will play right into the hands of Kei Nishikori, who is in need of a win after a rough patch of late. The -3.5 game handicap for Nishikori looks an incredibly appealing prospect, as the form lines around Fritz last week and this week all of a sudden don’t look too great.

 

Whilst his form hasn’t set the world on fire lately, I am confident in Nishikori’s ability to turn it around. His game was there in Monte Carlo, however the 0/10 break point conversion against Herbert was staggering. What did impress me however was the ability for Nishikori to generate those break points across 5 different service games from Herbert. He could consistently find a way into the service games, which is sometimes more than half the battle. In more ideal conditions today, I am very confident in his ability to cover the game handicap of 3.5 games. I think Nishikori should be able to control this from the outset.

 

 

Suggested Bet

4 units Nishikori -3.5 games vs Fritz at $1.80 at Bet365/Topsport

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