Ferrer vs Zverev (Approx 08:30pm AEST)
The -5.5 game handicap looks a very strong proposition based on the hardcourt form that David Ferrer was able to display over the last month. Fresh off a couple of weeks break, I don’t think that Ferrer is going to have too much trouble on court today.
Zverev’s season hasn’t quite got off the ground unfortunately, and a lot of that can be attritubted to starting the year injured with a wrist issue. On the Barcelona clay, playing against David Ferrer, just doesn’t bode well in my opinion. His first two clay matches for the year have left a lot to be desired, with a 3-6 0-6 lost to Taro Daniel (who is currently playing well below his best form as well), and a straight sets loss to Ocleppo in Monte Carlo qualifying.
David Ferrer, even in his final couple of tournaments, is still a tough prospect on clay. As Zverev doesn’t have complete confidence in his game currently, he can have a tendency to come into the net and try and finish points off as quickly as possible. On clay, I don’t see that working overly well against Ferrer, who not only can neutralise the serve of Zverev, but he can also pass on both wings as well as utilise the lob when necessary.
Whilst a big handicap, I do feel that Ferrer should be able to cover the -5.5 game handicap. There is no recent form to indicate otherwise, however as it is Ferrer’s first clay outing for a while, the staking will sit at just 2.5 units.
2.5 units Ferrer -5.5 games vs Zverev at $1.90 at Bet365/Unibet/Topsport