ATP New York
Millman vs Garcia-Lopez (Approx 3:00am AEDST)
Another value selection comes from New York overnight, with Millman sitting with a very nice 3.5 game handicap against Garcia-Lopez. I think the Garcia-Lopez form has been overrated slightly, as Popyrin (who was defeated by GGL 2 days ago) has really struggled to back up his hyped run at Australian Open.
I feel this match may follow a similar route to GGL’s match in Sydney against Schwartzman. I think Millman is too consistent for Garcia-Lopez, who this year has relied a little more on opponent dips in form than his own form being fantastic. Millman looked very good in Melbourne, with a dominant win over Delbonis, before taking eventual Quarter Finallist in Bautista-Agut to 5 sets in what was one of the matches of the tournament. He also looked solid and settled in New York, using doubles as a way to acclimatise to conditions.
The stats from Garcia-Lopez’s win over Popyrin do look good, however Popyrin was fresh off a qualifying loss to Schnur, and then got the late call up as a lucky loser, so you cannot read too much into the match. I feel this match rests on the racquet of Millman, and based off recent form, he looks a solid prospect here to cover the -3.5 game handicap. Millman should be too good here in my opinion.
2.5 units Millman -3.5 game handicap at $1.97 at Unibet (better odds elsewhere)