Pliskova vs Kuznetsova (Approx 2:00am AEST)
Whilst I did have some question marks over Kuznetsova’s ability to back up her first round victory, she was able to get the job done from a really difficult position, trailing a set and a break early in set 2. Whilst I thought Bacsinszky was going to be able to grind her down, Svetlana did prove me wrong. Today, after a day and a bit recovery time, I am happy to side with Kuznetsova in what I feel to be a favourable match up.
Whilst Kristyna Pliskova has managed to carve out some solid clay results in the last 12 months, I think her results this week in particular have been a touch overrated. She was fortunate that Lottner was able to knock off her good friend in Bencic, opening up this section of the draw significantly. I personally feel the match up today doesn’t favour her at all. The high IQ tennis that Kuznetsova is able to deliver consistently over her career should be too strong. If she can neutralise the serve, a trait Pliskova’s opponents have lacked this week, then that should go a long way today. Look for Kuznetsova to keep the ball low, use angles and extend rallies regularly. Happy to play the -2.5 game handicap in this one, and for fairness I’ll record against the -3 handicap which I also like.
3 units Kuznetsova -3 game handicap v Pliskova at $1.87 at Topsport