Buzarnescu to defeat Osaka at $3.85 (+285 or 57/20) at Topsport - WTA Rome
Buzarnescu vs Osaka (Approx 01:00am AEST)
To be honest, I am not entirely sure how or why we are getting nearly $4 for Buzarnescu against Osaka on clay. I wouldn’t worry too much about the Romanian going three sets earlier today against Goerges, as Buzarnescu is one of the fitter players on tour. She did a fantastic job of fighting back against the German, with Goerges retiring at 4-4 in the third set.
Osaka’s claycourt movement wasn’t tested as much in her match earlier today against Cibulkova, who has been struggling this year and is currently well below what you would consider her best tennis. Even still, the consistency in which Cibulkova was able to dig in to the service games of Osaka does intrigue me quite a bit. Osaka’s wins on clay recently have all come against smaller opponents who she can outpower and manage her clay movement with appropriately. Today against Buzarnescu she will find herself short on time on a consistent basis. The leftie Romanian matches up quite well, and if she can hit with depth into the backhand wing on clay, she is a massive chance today.
On clay after their matches this morning, I’d have Buzarnescu around $2.75 here against Osaka, so to be $3.75+ at most bookmakers is fantastic value. Personally, I’ll be staking 2.5 units here on the Romanian to cause the upset of the world number one.
2.5 units Buzarnescu to defeat Osaka at $3.85 at Topsport